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How we aim to avoid the losers

We use the h-factor: an innovative, rules-based process that measures the probability a company will fail to deliver the growth indicated by its stock price.

STEP 01

Calculate the revenue growth rate the company MUST deliver indicated by its stock price

STEP 02

Calculate the revenue growth rate the company COULD deliver based upon the past 12 quarters

STEP 03

Calculate the h-factor, the probability the company will FAIL to deliver the growth

Information as of
June 20, 2025
Tesla, Inc TSLA
Index / Sector / Industry group / Industry / Sub industry
Current Stock Price: Current Stock Price: Reflects what investors believe the company is worth, including future revenue growth.
$ 322.20
Indicated Growth Rate: Indicated Growth Rate (IGR): The rate of revenue growth needed to justify the current stock price.
-4.5%
Mean Historical Growth Rate: Mean Historical Growth Rate: The company's past average revenue growth over the past 12 quarters.
+2.7%
The h-factor: The h-factor: The probability that the company will fail to deliver the revenue growth indicated by its stock price. A high score means a higher chance of failure, therefore more risk.
32.8%
The h-factor is a risk score from 0%-100%. It tells you the probability that a company will fail to deliver the revenue indicated by its stock price.
Find out more about the h-factor

Why it matters

This isn't about betting on luck disguised as skill.
It's about using math to avoid the losers.

With over two decades of experience
we have demonstrated that low h-factor stocks
consistently outperform high h-factor stocks.

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